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Moderne Interior Design

Joan Greenfield from Moderne Interior Design.

Moderne Interior Design has been a full-service interior design firm, in Sarasota, since 1987.   Joan Greenfield holds a BFA from Ringling College of Art and Design, and a state license in interior design.  This firm specialties range from classic contemporary to modern chic.

The hallmark of this company is unique individualism and custom design of anything, from furniture and cabinetry to art and sculpture.

My favorite quote-  “As I see it, the risk in design is not being different or innovative, the risk is remaining static and predictable.”

Most important to me- Personal attention to each client, along with excellent listening skills.

 

 

You can see some of Joan’s work on her website here.

Or follow her on Facebook or Pinterest.

10 year Treasury yield

It’s hard to believe that almost 1 year ago I was talking about the rise in interest rates and their effect on the real estate market here in Manatee and Sarasota counties.  Interest rates were running about 4.5-5%, and were the topic of all the news blogs, TV news stations included.  At that time I was still confident that the real estate market in our area of Bradenton, Lakewood Ranch, Sarasota, and the Islands would remain steady, for 2 reasons. First, about 50% of transactions in our area are cash.  Second, money was still relatively inexpensive to borrow.

 

10 year t-bond 1 month

10 year T-Bond 1 month

Fast forward one year and who would have imagined that rates today are about 3.5-3.75%.  Another interesting fact is that those who can afford to purchase with cash are opting for a mortgage.  Why?  Their financial advisors are telling them to keep the cash and use OPM (other people’s money).  In most cases, their portfolios are making more money than the current mortgage rates and providing positive cash flow, if only in terms of what they would be losing in return from investments had they taken out the cash.

Mortgage Rates- Freddie Mac

Mortgage Rates- Freddie Mac

  writes: Contrary to popular belief, mortgage rates are not based on the 10-year Treasury note. They’re based on the bond market, meaning mortgage bonds or mortgage-backed securities. When shopping for a new home loan, many people jump online to see how the 10-year Treasury note is doing, but in reality, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) drive the fluctuations in mortgage rates.

In fact, it is not unusual to see them move in completely different directions…

Some bond market reporters mistakenly tie mortgage rates to the performance of the 10-year Treasury bond. Many of these financial reporters possess a broad knowledge of bond markets, but they are not mortgage experts and do not fully comprehend how mortgage interest rates are determined.

In summary, the state of Florida is still experiencing large growth, mainly coming from high tax states.  Builders are very busy here in Lakewood Ranch and Sarasota, trying to keep up with demand.  As our “season” approaches for 2019-2020 we are expecting an even balance continuation of growth.  A 3-4% increase in year over year sales of existing homes and new builds would keep prices stable.  Low-interest rates will help the market continue in its upward trend.

ABC7 Mark Boehmig

The effect of interest rates on Real Estate

Interest rates are still relatively low compared to the last 40 years.  In 1980 we purchased our first home and paid 15% interest on our mortgage, and as I look back at that purchase I’m still amazed. Our only concern at that time were the monthly payments;  that purchase was the perfect starter home for us.

My how times have changed…  Fast Forward 39 years to 2019 and interest rates are between  4.5 and 5% depending on several qualifying factors such as credit score, debt to income ratio, purchase price, and type of property (Condo, Single Family etc.).

Now that interest rates appear to have reached their low point in this cycle, the topic of rising interest rates is in the news again.

I was invited to a round table discussion at the local ABC News station, ABC7.  The expert panel consisted of  Richard Stern, Financial AdviserJerry Zivic, Consumer ReporterLeslie Swart, Mortgage Lender and myself, Mark Boehmig, a local Realtor with Michael Saunders & Company.

The topic of discussion, as you can guess, was about rising interest rates and the effect on the local real estate market.  So what are the actual effects of the rise in the interest rates?

This is the way I see it:

  • housing prices have been steadily rising for the past 8 years
  • mortgages have been tougher to qualify for
  • the government rules in place for mortgages have made the market more secure
  • interest rates have been very low for the past 8 years

With low rates and increasing housing prices, the federal government is slowly increasing the 10 year treasury bond yield, which increases the rate on money loaned to banks.  This will slow down the rise in home pricing, which keeps inflation in check.

What part of the sales cycle are we in?

Another thing to keep in mind, a 1% increase in interest rates equals a 10% decline in borrowing power.  To put this in monetary terms, if a buyer could previously qualify for a mortgage on a home with a value of $200,000. their borrowing power has now been reduced to $178000.

Real estate will adjust to these new parameters, therefore slowing the rise in housing prices.  As more inventory comes on the market the supply will increase, shifting the market from a sellers market, to equilibrium, then perhaps a buyers market.

As far as the Manatee and Sarasota counties of Florida are concerned, our market is a little different.  45-50% of our sales are cash.  How can this be?  Many people retire here.  They have sold their homes in other places and come here with cash!  Others come here buying second or third homes, and a majority of those sales are cash as well.

Keep these factors in mind if you are in the market to buy or sell property in the near future.  Having the knowledge of market conditions is important when the time comes.

The full panel discussion can be viewed here.